Opinion Poll

Lok Sabha polls 2014: Jayalalithaa-led AIADMK all set to clean sweep Tamil Nadu.

 


The eleventh largest state (area-wise) and seventh most populous state in India, Tamil Nadu witnessed more than average polling on April 24, 2014, in the sixth phase of Lok Sabha elections.

Maintaining a brisk pace from the start, the polling percentage crossed the 73 percent mark in the single-phase Lok Sabha elections to 39 constituencies in this state out of which seven were reserved for the Scheduled Caste.

Chief Minister J Jayalalithaa, DMK President M Karunanidhi, DMDK founder Vijayakant, MDMK leader Vaiko, D Raja and D Pandian of CPI, actors Rajnikanth, Kamal Haasan, Ajith Kumar, Vijay and Jiiva were among the prominent personalities who cast their votes.

In a bid for ballots, the destiny of 845 candidates including 2G scam-accused Dayanidhi Maran and A Raja of DMK, Congress nominees Karti P Chidambaram and Mani Shankar Aiyar, AIADMK’s sitting MP M Thambidurai, besides those of BJP, DMDK and PMK will be decided by the voters.

Though the poll scene presents a multi-cornered battle, the actual contest is between ruling AIADMK and DMK besides the BJP-led six-party alliance, which is trying to throw up challenge to the two Dravidian outfits.

If exit polls results are to be believed Jayalalitha-led All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (AIADMK) is all set to clean sweep Tamil Nadu in the Parliamentary elections due to its good track record in governance, compared to 2009 election results, the poll arithmetic has changed considerably.

According to the poll surveys the seat sharing projections are as follow:

AIADMK might get 25 -28 seats, Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) 7-11 seats whereas BJP being relegated to number three position with 4-6 seats. The Congress is facing a threat of being obliterated from the state.

In 2009, Tamil Nadu had recorded a same polling percentage, with DMK bagging 18 seats in coalition with the Congress, which had bagged 8 seats. The Jayalalitha-led AIADMK could not do well and could get only 9 seats. It had entered into an alliance with the CPI and CPI (M) then.

Moving on national level, although exit polls are predicting that Narendra Modi-led NDA is heading for majority. The AIADMK has send warm signals to Narendra Modi and has shown willingness to support the NDA government to come to power.

Prior to the elections, The Bharatiya Janata Party had announced the formation of a seven-party rainbow alliance for the Lok Sabha polls, in its first-ever such electoral venture in the state where the turf has been largely dominated by DMK and AIADMK.

Out of the 39 seats, actor-politician Vijayakant’s DMDK is fighting for 14 seats while PMK and BJP has fielded candidates in eight constituencies each. Part president Rajnath Singh managed to convince PMK to give up the claim on Salem seat and accommodate the request by DMDK.

The other national party Congress, which used to ride piggy back on DMK or AIADMK, has been left to face the polls on its own this time. This could well mean a complete rout for Congress in the state.

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